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Economy

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Why Economic Data Denial is Concerning

In January 2025, the U.S. economy displayed a blend of resilience and new challenges appearing in different sectors.In January 2025, the U.S. economy exhibited mixed signals, reflecting both resilience and emerging challenges across various sectors.El índice S&P Global Flash U.S. Composite PMI Output, que sigue el desempeño de los sectores manufacturero y de servicios, cayó a 52.4 en enero desde 55.4 en diciembre, alcanzando su nivel más bajo desde abril. A pesar de esta desaceleración, el índice se mantuvo por encima del umbral de 50, lo que sugiere que la expansión continúa. Principalmente, el sector servicios contribuyó a este freno,…
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Understanding the Fed’s Choice to Suspend Rate Cuts

La Reserva Federal comunicó su resolución de conservar la tasa de fondos federales dentro del rango objetivo del 4.25% al 4.50%. Esta determinación se produce en medio de continuas evaluaciones de indicadores económicos y factores externos que afectan la economía de EE. UU.Indicadores Económicos y Situación del Mercado LaboralEconomic Indicators and Labor Market ConditionsMandato Dual de la Reserva Federal y Objetivos de PolíticaLa Reserva Federal funciona bajo un mandato dual: alcanzar el máximo empleo y mantener la inflación en una tasa objetivo del 2% a largo plazo. El Comité Federal de Mercado Abierto (FOMC) evalúa que los riesgos para lograr…
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Trump threatens EU with trade deficit tariffs and calls for more US energy purchases

Trump threatens EU with trade deficit tariffs and calls for more US energy purchases

President-elect Donald Trump ramped up his rhetoric on trade on Friday, warning the European Union that it must significantly reduce its trade deficit with the United States by buying more American oil and gas or face tariffs. “I told the European Union that it must make up for its huge deficit with the United States by buying our oil and gas on a large scale. Otherwise, it will just be tariffs,” Trump posted on his Truth Social platform shortly after 1 pm ET. The trade deficit between the United States and the EU in goods and services amounted to 131.3…
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Parliament approves financing law to avoid government shutdown, but battle over debt ceiling looms

Parliament approves financing law to avoid government shutdown, but battle over debt ceiling looms

The Republican-led US House of Representatives passed legislation on Friday to prevent a government shutdown, rejecting President-elect Donald Trump's calls to include billions of dollars in new funding. The bill, which now moves to the Democratic-controlled Senate, must be approved and signed into law by President Joe Biden before current funding expires at midnight Saturday. The bill passed the House with broad bipartisan support in a 366-34 vote, extending federal funding through March 14. The bill allocates $100 billion for disaster relief and $10 billion for farmers, but excludes controversial provisions, including raising the debt ceiling, a controversial Trump issue.…
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Trump picks Kevin Hassett to head National Economic Council, rounding out key economic team

Trump picks Kevin Hassett to head National Economic Council, rounding out key economic team

President-elect Donald Trump has nominated Kevin Hassett to lead the National Economic Council (NEC), placing the veteran economist at the forefront of the administration's decision-making on trade, taxes and deregulation. The announcement, made by Trump on his social media platform Truth Social, marks a significant step in finalizing his economic team ahead of Inauguration Day on Jan. 20. Hassett, who previously served as chairman of the White House Council of Economic Advisers (CEA) during Trump's first term, is no stranger to the administration's economic agenda. During his tenure at CEA, Hassett played a critical role in supporting the 2017 Republican…
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European markets fall as investors weigh economic data and interest rates

European markets fall as investors weigh economic data and interest rates

European markets fell on Friday, with trading characterized by volatility as investors processed new economic indicators and the implications of potential interest rate cuts following remarks by US Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell. By mid-morning, the pan-European Stoxx 600 index was down 0.43%, reflecting mixed performance across major stock exchanges and diversified sector results. Technology stocks suffered a notable decline of 1.82%, while sectors such as mining, oil and gas posted gains of more than 1%. Among decliners, Nordic Bavarian fell sharply, plunging 16% after announcing a drop in third-quarter revenue attributed to fluctuating demand for its vaccine. This decline…
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US inflation rises as markets react to economic data

US inflation rises as markets react to economic data

On October 3, 2024, the Federal Reserve building in Washington was the backdrop for the latest developments in US economic indicators. This report is part of CNBC's Daily Open, designed to inform investors around the world about major market updates. To stay informed you can sign up to the newsletter. Highlights American inflation trend upwardsIn October, the overall inflation rate in the United States reached 2.6%, in line with market expectations. Core inflation, which excludes food and energy price volatility, remained stable at 3.3%. This overall figure exceeds the Federal Reserve's target, potentially complicating its monetary policy easing plans. Mixed…
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The Fed's interest rate outlook could change with Trump's tariff plans

The Fed's interest rate outlook could change with Trump's tariff plans

Former Federal Reserve policymaker Loretta Mester has indicated that the US Federal Reserve may implement fewer interest rate cuts than previously expected next year, particularly if President-elect Donald Trump's proposed global tariffs are implemented. Speaking at UBS's annual European conference in London, Mester stressed that the Fed's monetary policy will be significantly influenced by the fiscal strategies of a future Republican administration. Mester noted that the market's revised expectations for interest rate cuts may actually be correct, suggesting that the number of cuts may be fewer than the four previously expected. “Next year, the pace of cuts will be influenced…
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The UK Finance Minister's tax changes raise concerns in the tech sector

The UK Finance Minister's tax changes raise concerns in the tech sector

On 23 September 2024, Rachel Reeves, UK Finance Minister, gave a significant speech at the Labor Party Conference held at the ACC Liverpool Convention Centre. His speech outlined the Government's latest tax proposals, which have raised eyebrows among tech leaders and venture capitalists over the UK's ambitions to establish itself as a major global hub for artificial intelligence. Reeves revealed plans to increase capital gains tax (CGT), which is the tax levied on profits made from the sale of investments. The changes include increasing the lowest CGT rate from 10% to 18% and increasing the highest rate from 20% to…
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Nasdaq 100 futures rise as traders prepare for key jobs report

Nasdaq 100 futures rise as traders prepare for key jobs report

Nasdaq 100 futures showed a positive trend Thursday evening as traders priced important earnings reports ahead of the release of the crucial jobs report. Futures tied to the tech-heavy index rose 0.4%, while Dow Jones Industrial Average futures rose 152 points, also reflecting a 0.4% gain. S&P 500 futures followed suit, rising 0.4%. A notable driver of this upward momentum was Amazon, whose shares rose more than 5% after beating Wall Street's earnings expectations, buoyed by solid performance in the cloud computing and advertising sectors. Likewise, Intel saw its shares rise more than 5% after its revenue beat analysts' forecasts…
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